def estimate(Q, M, P, S, N, T): return ((Q*M*P) / (S*N*T)) ** (1/T) # Gaming company # Probability of success Q = 0.05 # Market size in dollars M = 5000000000 # 5B #P: percent of the market attained in the first year P = 0.2 #S: average salary per person (in dollars per year) S = 100000 #N: headcount N = 3 #T: time to market (in years) T = 0.5 print estimate(Q, M, P, S, N, T) # Drug company # Probability of success Q = 0.05 # Market size in dollars M = 10000000000 # 10B #P: percent of the market attained in the first year P = 15 #S: average salary per person (in dollars per year) S = 50000 #N: headcount N = 30 #T: time to market (in years) T = 10 print estimate(Q, M, P, S, N, T)
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